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Why Precious Metals Prices Are Soaring as Investors Brace for a Real Estate Market Dip

  • Writer: Michael Eckert
    Michael Eckert
  • Dec 13, 2025
  • 4 min read

The price of precious metals like gold, silver, and platinum is climbing rapidly, sparking questions among investors and jewelry dealers alike. Why is gold so high? Is gold in a bubble? These questions are on everyone’s mind as hedge funds, banks, and large investors prepare for a major shift in the commercial real estate market expected between 2026 and 2028. This article explores the forces driving precious metals prices upward and what it means for those holding or considering selling their gold and other precious metals today.



Stack of shiny gold bars with embossed text on a reflective surface, set against a dark background.

The Real Estate Market’s Looming Crisis


Commercial real estate is facing a storm. Many properties are burdened with balloon mortgages set to mature between 2026 and 2028. These large, lump-sum payments will force property owners to refinance or face bankruptcy. The scale of this issue is enormous, with billions of dollars at risk. Investors anticipate a wave of defaults and distressed sales that will shake the market to its core.


This expectation has triggered a defensive move among large investors. Hedge funds and banks are shifting their cash into safe havens, primarily precious metals. They see gold, silver, and platinum as reliable stores of value during times of financial uncertainty. This shift is a classic hedge against the volatility expected in real estate.


Why Precious Metals Are the Preferred Hedge


Precious metals have long been a refuge during economic downturns. Unlike paper assets, metals like gold and silver hold intrinsic value that does not depend on corporate earnings or government policies. When real estate prices fall, and credit tightens, precious metals often rise.


The current surge in gold price, platinum price, and silver price reflects this trend. Investors are not just buying for short-term gains; they are storing wealth to protect against the fallout from the real estate market collapse. This behavior mirrors what happened during the 2008 financial crisis when gold prices soared as the housing market imploded.


Is AI Driving Gold Prices?


Some speculate that new technologies like AI might be influencing gold prices. While AI impacts many sectors, its direct effect on gold price is minimal compared to macroeconomic factors. The real driver remains the anticipation of financial instability and the search for safe assets. AI may improve trading algorithms or market analysis, but it does not create demand for physical gold or silver.


The Cycle of Crisis and Opportunity


History shows that after a crisis, markets rebound. When the real estate market bottoms out, investors will likely liquidate some of their precious metals holdings to buy undervalued properties. This cycle of buying gold before a crash and selling it to buy real estate at a discount is a well-known strategy.


The coming years could resemble 2008 all over again. Money will flow into precious metals as a hedge, then flood back into real estate once prices become attractive. This cycle explains why the gold price might rise another 10% in the short term but eventually settle between $2,500 and $3,500 per ounce after the dust settles.



Stack of coins in focus with blurred green and red stock market chart in the background, suggesting financial growth and trading.

Should You Sell Your Precious Metals Now?


Given this outlook, now is arguably the best time to sell gold and other precious metals. Prices are high, and while there might be a small increase ahead, the peak is near. Investors who hold onto their metals risk missing the opportunity to cash out before the market shifts.


For jewelry dealers and gold buyers, this means a potential surge in selling activity. Buyers should be cautious, understanding that prices could drop after the real estate market stabilizes. Sellers, on the other hand, can capitalize on current demand driven by institutional investors.


What This Means for Jewelry Dealers and Investors


  • Jewelry dealers should prepare for increased supply as owners sell gold and platinum jewelry to take advantage of high prices.

  • Investors need to watch the commercial real estate market closely and consider reallocating assets accordingly.

  • Gold buyers should be aware that the current high prices may not last beyond the next few years.


The question "is gold in a bubble?" is valid but misleading. This is not a speculative bubble driven by hype but a strategic move by large investors anticipating a real economic event. The price reflects real demand for a safe asset amid expected turmoil.



Silver bars arranged on a dark surface with engraved text like "PALLADIUM" and "CASE 2019," reflecting soft light in a minimalistic setting.

Final Thoughts


The surge in precious metals prices is a clear signal that major investors are preparing for a significant downturn in commercial real estate. This preparation is driving up gold price, platinum price, and silver price as a hedge against the expected crisis. While some wonder if AI is driving gold prices, the reality is that economic fundamentals and mortgage risks are the main factors.


For those holding precious metals, the current market offers a prime chance to sell before prices peak. For buyers and dealers, understanding this cycle can help navigate the coming years with greater confidence. The real estate market dip expected in 2026-2028 will reshape investment strategies, and precious metals will play a central role in that transformation.


Stay informed, watch the market trends, and consider your position carefully. The next few years will test the resilience of both real estate and precious metals markets.


 
 
 

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